Olympics

Surfing

I didn’t catch any surfing at the Tokyo Games, so I am not at all familiar with how this sport is scored and judged. As such, I will admit I am taking a huge shot in the dark with these picks, as there isn’t all that much data to go off.

Projections:

MedalMen’s shortboardCountry
GoldJohn John FlorenceUnited States
SilverEthan EwingAustralia
BronzeGriffin ColapintoUnited States
MedalWomen’s shortboardCountry
GoldMolly PicklumAustralia
SilverTatiana Weston-WebbBrazil
BronzeCarissa MooreUnited States

Projected medal count:

CountryGoldSilverBronzeTotal
Australia1102
United States1023
Brazil0101
Olympics

Taekwondo

I have a good friend who is very experienced in taekwondo. Unfortunately, I don’t understand how the sport works, but I appreciate the amount of skill it takes to compete. It’s definitely been one of the better additions to the Olympic program since 1988.

Projections:

MedalMen’s -58 kgCountry
GoldMohamed Khalil JendoubiTunisia
SilverAdrian VicenteSpain
BronzeVito Dell’AquilaItaly
BronzeOmar SalimHungary
MedalMen’s -68 kgCountry
GoldUlugbek RashitovUzbekistan
SilverHakan RecberTurkey
BronzeBradly SindenGreat Britain
BronzeJavier PerezSpain
MedalMen’s -80 kgCountry
GoldSimone AlessioItaly
SilverSeif EissaEgypt
BronzeSaleh Al-SharabatyJordan
BronzeCarl NickolasUnited States
MedalMen’s +80 kgCountry
GoldCheick Sallah CisseIvory Coast
SilverCarlos SansoresMexico
BronzeIvan SapinaCroatia
BronzeEmre Kultalmis AtesliTurkey
MedalWomen’s -49 kgCountry
GoldPanipak WongpattanakitThailand
SilverLena StojkovicCroatia
BronzeMerve DincelTurkey
BronzeAdriana CerezoSpain
MedalWomen’s -57 kgCountry
GoldNahid KianiIran
SilverJade JonesGreat Britain
BronzeLuo ZongshiChina
BronzeSkylar ParkCanada
MedalWomen’s -67 kgCountry
GoldSarah ChaariBelgium
SilverRuth GbagbiIvory Coast
BronzeZhang MengyuChina
BronzeJulyana Al-SadeqJordan
MedalWomen’s +67 kgCountry
GoldNafia KusTurkey
SilverRebecca McGowanGreat Britain
BronzeSvetlana OsipovaUzbekistan
BronzeLee Da-binSouth Korea

Projected medal count:

CountryGoldSilverBronzeTotal
Turkey1124
Ivory Coast1102
Italy1012
Uzbekistan1012
Belgium1001
Iran1001
Thailand1001
Tunisia1001
Great Britain0213
Spain0123
Croatia0112
Egypt0101
Mexico0101
China0022
Jordan0022
Canada0011
Hungary0011
South Korea0011
United States0011
Olympics

Fencing

Fencing always scared me as a little kid, one of those sports I would not want to be anywhere near. But it’s no longer dangerous like it was in the eighties. Even so, I admire the fencers for their courage in such a sport.

Projections:

MedalMen’s individual epeeCountry
GoldRomain CannoneFrance
SilverYannick BorelFrance
BronzeAndrea SantarelliItaly
MedalMen’s team epeeCountry
GoldFranceFrance
SilverItalyItaly
BronzeJapanJapan
MedalMen’s individual foilCountry
GoldTommaso MariniItaly
SilverEnzo LefortFrance
BronzeAlexander MassialasUnited States
MedalMen’s team foilCountry
GoldItalyItaly
SilverFranceFrance
BronzeUnited StatesUnited States
MedalMen’s individual sabreCountry
GoldAron SzilagyiHungary
SilverEli DershwitzUnited States
BronzeLuigi SameleItaly
MedalMen’s team sabreCountry
GoldHungaryHungary
SilverItalyItaly
BronzeUnited StatesUnited States
MedalWomen’s individual epeeCountry
GoldMarie-Florence CandassamyFrance
SilverSun YiwenChina
BronzeRossella FiamingoItaly
MedalWomen’s team epeeCountry
GoldFranceFrance
SilverChinaChina
BronzeSouth KoreaSouth Korea
MedalWomen’s individual foilCountry
GoldArianna ErrigoItaly
SilverLee KieferUnited States
BronzeMartina FavarettoItaly
MedalWomen’s team foilCountry
GoldItalyItaly
SilverUnited StatesUnited States
BronzeFranceFrance
MedalWomen’s individual sabreCountry
GoldSara BalzerFrance
SilverManon BrunetFrance
BronzeAnna MartonHungary
MedalWomen’s team sabreCountry
GoldFranceFrance
SilverHungaryHungary
BronzeUnited StatesUnited States

Projected medal count:

CountryGoldSilverBronzeTotal
France64111
Italy42410
Hungary2114
United States0347
China0202
Japan0011
South Korea0011
Olympics

Judo

I can’t say I fully understand judo, so pardon me if I have nothing real of substance to add about it. Don’t get me wrong, it takes a ton of skill, I just don’t know how the sport works. The only thing I really know is that 2 waza-aris = 1 ippon, and 1 ippon = winning the match. That’s about the extent of my knowledge of judo.

Projections:

MedalMen’s Extra-lightweight (60 kg)Country
GoldYang Yung-weiTaiwan
SilverGiorgi SardalashviliGeorgia
BronzeLuka MkheidzeFrance
BronzeRyuju MagayamaJapan
MedalMen’s Half-lightweight (66 kg)Country
GoldVazha MargvelashviliGeorgia
SilverDenis VieruMoldova
BronzeHifumi AbeJapan
BronzeWalide KhyarFrance
MedalMen’s LightweightCountry
GoldHidayet HeydarovAzerbaijan
SilverSoichi HashimotoJapan
BronzeManuel LombardoItaly
BronzeLasha ShavdatuashviliGeorgia
MedalMen’s Half-middleweight (81 kg)Country
GoldTato GrigalashviliGeorgia
SilverMatthias CasseBelgium
BronzeLee Joon-hwanSouth Korea
BronzeGuilherme SchimidtBrazil
MedalMen’s Middleweight (90 kg)Country
GoldLasha BekauriGeorgia
SilverSanshiro MuraoJapan
BronzeNemanja MajdovSerbia
BronzeChristian ParlatiItaly
MedalMen’s Half-heavyweight (100 kg)Country
GoldZelym KotsoievAzerbaijan
SilverIlia SulamanidzeGeorgia
BronzeMichael KorrelNetherlands
BronzeMatvey KanikovskiyAIN
MedalMen’s Heavyweight (+100 kg)Country
GoldInal TasoevAIN
SilverKim Min-jongSouth Korea
BronzeTeddy RinerFrance
BronzeTatsuru SaitoJapan
MedalWomen’s Extra-lightweight (48 kg)Country
GoldAssunta ScuttoItaly
SilverBavuudorjiin BaasankhuuMongolia
BronzeAbiba AbuzhakynovaKazakhstan
BronzeShirine BoukliFrance
MedalWomen’s Half-lightweight (52 kg)Country
GoldAmandine BuchardFrance
SilverOdette GiuffridaItaly
BronzeDiyora KeldiyorovaUzbekistan
BronzeDistria KrasniqiKosovo
MedalWomen’s Lightweight (57 kg)Country
GoldChrista DeguchiCanada
SilverHuh Mi-miSouth Korea
BronzeSarah-Leonie CysiqueFrance
BronzeHaruka FunakuboJapan
MedalWomen’s Half-middleweight (63 kg)Country
GoldJoanne van LieshoutNetherlands
SilverCatherine Beauchemin-PinardCanada
BronzeClarisse AgbegnenouFrance
BronzeMiku TakaichiJapan
MedalWomen’s Middleweight (70 kg)Country
GoldBarbara MaticCroatia
SilverElisavet TeltsidouGreece
BronzeMichaela PolleresAustria
BronzeMarie-Eve GahieFrance
MedalWomen’s Half-heavyweight (78 kg)Country
GoldAnna-Maria WagnerGermany
SilverAlice BellandiItaly
BronzeInbar LanirIsrael
BronzeAudrey TcheumeoFrance
MedalWomen’s Heavyweight (+78 kg)Country
GoldRomane DickoFrance
SilverBeatriz SouzaBrazil
BronzeRaz HershkoIsrael
BronzeKayra OzdemirTurkey

Projected medal count:

CountryGoldSilverBronzeTotal
Georgia3216
France20810
Azerbaijan2002
Italy1135
Canada1102
AIN1012
Netherlands1012
Croatia1001
Germany1001
Taiwan1001
Japan0257
South Korea0213
Brazil0112
Belgium0101
Greece0101
Moldova0101
Mongolia0101
Israel0022
Austria0011
Kazakhstan0011
Kosovo0011
Serbia0011
Turkey0011
Uzbekistan0011