Breakdancing is an Olympic… sport? Wow. I guess if gymnastics and synchronized swimming are in the Games, then why can’t breaking be in them too? It definitely requires a lot of athletic skill, that’s for sure. Let’s not get into the comparison category, i.e., who’s better, an archer or a breaker. Instead, let’s try to figure out who’s gonna win these medals, which (if won by the USA or China) could prove decisive in the medal race.

Projections:

Projected medal count:

This isn’t pro wrestling, this is the real thing. And it’s gotten more and more popular recently, especially where I live. Lots of medals to be handed out here, and likely a bunch going to countries who won’t be near the top of the overall medal count.

Projected medal count:

I don’t know what’s going on in the world of modern pentathlon. Apparently they’re going American Ninja Warrior style to replace horse riding? Although that seems to be tabled until after the 2024 Olympics. So, this will be the final time you see horses in this event. I’m surprised to see that this isn’t a uniquely European sport – there are people from Asia and Africa high up in the world rankings.

Projections:

Projected medal count:

One of the most picturesque sports at the Olympics, yet one of the most dangerous. I’m always worried the divers are going to hit their heads. It scares me just watching – I can’t imagine what it feels like on that 10-meter platform. I remember Fu Mingxia completely dominating in diving when I was in grade school and into high school; China has always been very good at this event.

Projections:

Men’s events:

Women’s events:

Projected medal count: