I don’t know what’s going on in the world of modern pentathlon. Apparently they’re going American Ninja Warrior style to replace horse riding? Although that seems to be tabled until after the 2024 Olympics. So, this will be the final time you see horses in this event. I’m surprised to see that this isn’t a uniquely European sport – there are people from Asia and Africa high up in the world rankings.
Projections:
| Medal | Men’s | Country |
| Gold | Csaba Bohm | Hungary |
| Silver | Jun Woong-tae | South Korea |
| Bronze | Ahmed El-Gendy | Egypt |
| Medal | Women’s | Country |
| Gold | Seong Seung-min | South Korea |
| Silver | Mariya Gnedtchik | AIN |
| Bronze | Ilke Ozyuksel | Turkey |
Projected medal count:
| Country | Gold | Silver | Bronze | Total |
| South Korea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Hungary | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| AIN | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Egypt | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Turkey | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |